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| 2 minutes read

Turbulent Times for Global Shipping

Supply chains are facing a perfect storm of challenges, leading to skyrocketing costs for both sea and air freight. From geopolitical conflicts to natural disasters, a confluence of factors is putting immense pressure on shippers and logistics providers worldwide. This in turn is expected to impact global mobility programs that support these types of shipments when employees relocate or head off on a business assignment.

Two months after the collapse of the Francis Scott Key Bridge in Baltimore, the port has finally reopened for 24/7 commercial traffic. However, the damage done during that incident continues to reverberate, with the port operating at reduced capacity. The improved 50-foot depth of the Fort McHenry Limited Access Channel should help streamline operations, but congestion remains a persistent issue.

Tensions in the Middle East have also taken a significant toll. The outbreak of war between Israel and Hamas in Gaza has led many shipping companies to avoid the Red Sea region and the Gulf of Aden altogether, opting instead to route vessels around the Cape of Good Hope. This strategic decision adds 10-14 days to each voyage, significantly increasing transit times and freight rates. Some carriers have even introduced emergency risk or contingency surcharges to offset the additional costs and security risks.

The ongoing conflict in Ukraine and Russia continues to compound the challenges. Shipping rates from Asia are rising due to a combination of the Red Sea crisis, container shortages, and a surge in exports. Schedule reliability is also likely to worsen as a result of these disruptions.

Specific countries are grappling with their own localized obstacles. In Canada, limited railcar availability at West Coast ports is causing heavy congestion, while labor negotiations in Vancouver could further disrupt operations. China's main ports, particularly Shanghai and Ningbo, are experiencing worsening congestion and equipment shortages.

France, meanwhile, is bracing for the Summer Olympic and Paralympic Games in Paris, which could lead to slower customs clearance and additional security checks. Port workers in the country have also announced a series of work stoppages, adding to the logistical headaches.

India has seen some carriers impose emergency peak season surcharges on lanes to North America, driven by equipment imbalances, blank sailings, and capacity constraints. Singapore is also dealing with a shortage of ships and containers, as well as major port congestion, causing significant shipment delays and potential price hikes.

The situation is further exacerbated by natural disasters, such as the recent 7.2 magnitude earthquake in Taiwan and torrential flooding in the UAE, which have disrupted transportation networks and airport operations.

In the United States, rails are experiencing congestion in key hubs like Chicago, Columbus, Los Angeles, and Long Beach, while software issues and technology malfunctions have created backlogs at the ports of Charleston and Savannah.

With no immediate end in sight to these multifaceted challenges, shippers and consumers alike can expect continued volatility in sea and air freight costs in the months ahead. That's why adaptability and proactive planning will be crucial for navigating the turbulence. 

Hang in there!

Far East to U.S. ocean freight rates are up between 36%-41% month over month, while air freight prices have jumped 9% this year. DHL says ocean freight rate inflation might not ease up before Chinese New Year in early 2025, with some forecasts seeing rates reaching to between $20,000 and a Covid era peak of $30,000. Longer Red Sea transits resulting in a shipping container capacity shortage and canceled sailings from Asia are stoking spot ocean freight rates. Demand alone cannot explain the price hikes, with ocean freight orders down 48% month over month

Tags

global supply chain, skyrocketing costs, air freight, sea shipments, relocation, benefit, international assignment, middle east, red sea, gulf of aden, transit time, security risks, ukraine, russia, container shortages, railcar, port strikes, congestion, equipment shortages, china, canada, france, olympics, slower customs clearance, work stoppages, emergency peak season surcharges, india, singapore, natural disasters, taiwan, uae, flooding, earthquake, united states, volatility